In 2008, Obama Changed Convention Rules Stealing Nomination from Hillary Clinton
WASHINGTON & SANTA
FE, NM (By Paul
Sracic, CNN)
September 16, 2011
Are Democrats
beginning to
reconsider their
vote in the 2008
Democratic primary?
With the nation's
economy ― and
arguably its
politics ― in
shambles, it is not
very surprising to
find in a recent
Bloomberg poll 34%
of respondents think
it would have been
better for the
country if Hillary
Clinton hadn't lost
the battle for the
Democratic
nomination to Barack
Obama.
A CNN poll released
last week put
Clinton's
favorability rating
at a tremendous 69%.
Perhaps no one is
questioning the 2008
results more than
Democratic
politicians who must
face the voters next
year.
Right now, it looks like President Obama, rather than offering coattails to those below him on the ticket, may instead be serving up an anchor.
This is ironic, when
you look back at
what actually
happened during the
Democrats' 2008
primary and at who
made Obama the
party's nominee.
It is often assumed
Barack Obama used
his gifts as an
orator and his
aspirational
rhetoric to energize
young and minority
voters in a way that
allowed him to wrest
the nomination from
Clinton, the
candidate favored by
the Democratic
establishment.
This is a nice story, but not true.
Clinton actually
defeated Obama in
the popular vote.
Clinton's very
narrow lead depends
on counting votes
from Michigan.
Because Michigan
refused to abide by
Democratic Party
rules when
scheduling its
primary, Obama had
pulled his name off
that state's ballot.
It does not really
matter who won the
popular vote,
however, because the
Democratic Party
does not select its
nominee only through
a direct election.
To become the
party's
standard-bearer, a
candidate must
capture the votes of
a majority of the
more than 4,000
delegates who are
selected to attend
the party's national
convention.
Although delegates are awarded in part based on the votes they receive, neither Clinton nor Obama captured enough delegates through their primary and caucus showings to secure the nomination.
Indeed, in 2008,
Democratic Party
rules made such a
feat almost
impossible.
Unlike the
Republicans, the
Democrats don't
allow states to
award their
delegates on a
winner-take-all
basis. This makes it
difficult for
candidates who are
neck-and-neck to
pull away from each
other in delegate
counts.
Adding to this
problem is
approximately 20% of
the delegates to the
Democratic National
Convention are not
tied to the results
of primary contests.
Party rules
stipulate more than
800 seats at the
convention belong to
a group defined as
"Party Leaders and
Elected Officials."
These so-called "superdelegates"
are not formally
pledged to any
candidates and
attend the
convention
regardless of
primary and caucus
results.
Indeed, it appears
the real brilliance
of the Obama
campaign was to
realize fairly early
a true majority was
not achievable.
In response to this
fact, and having an
edge in the early
caucus states due to
superior grass-roots
organizing, the
Obama campaign
subtly changed the
understanding of the
rules. It acted as
if the nomination
would be determined
by the delegate
count after the
caucuses and
primaries,
regardless of
whether an absolute
majority had been
achieved. What this
did was to lower the
overall number by
more than 800 votes
(the superdelegates),
and consequently
change the threshold
of victory.
Since most Americans
are unfamiliar with
how the nominating
process works, this
was a fairly easy
story to sell.
The press for the
most part
cooperated. Once
this fiction was
accepted, any other
result would be seen
as undemocratic.
Indeed, Clinton's
complaints about
this unofficial
after-the-fact rules
change were
portrayed as a
divisive form of
sour grapes. After
all, following Sen.
Obama's post-Super
Tuesday February
romp through 10
states, it became
obvious Sen. Clinton
would not be able to
win under this new
threshold.
Ultimately, and most
importantly, the
elected and
unelected leaders of
the Democratic Party
accepted the Obama
campaign's spin.
This was crucial to
Obama's success,
since a real victory
at the convention
depended on these
super delegates
ignoring the fact
Clinton was the
stronger general
election candidate
in swing states like
Pennsylvania,
Florida and Ohio. In
the end, it was the
endorsement of these
super delegates ―
again, party leaders
and elected
officials ― that
forced Clinton to
concede the
nomination.
The irony of all
this should now be
clear.
According to a
recent CNN poll,
only Republican Mitt
Romney appears to be
in a position to
offer a strong
challenge to Obama
in 2012.
Unfortunately for
the Republican
Party, Romney's
nomination is
anything but
certain.
The results of the
2010 midterms,
however, when
combined with recent
special election
results, indicate,
with Obama at the
top of the ticket,
the prospects for
many other
Democratic elected
officials are rather
dismal.
Of course, a lot of
these politicians
have no one to blame
but themselves. I
suspect,
nonetheless, that
they are feeling
more than a twinge
of buyer's remorse.
Paul Sracic is
chairman of the
department of
political science at
Youngstown State
University in Ohio.
His most recent book
is "San Antonio v.
Rodriguez and the
Pursuit of Equal
Education"
(University Press of
Kansas).










