Liberal Discontent Assures Obama will be One Term President
WASHINGTON & SANTA FE, NM (By Jonathan Chait, The New Republic) September 5, 2011 This has been the summer liberal discontent with Obama has finally crystallized. The frustration has been simmering for a while — through centrist appointments, bank bailouts and defeat of the public option, to name a few examples. But it has taken the debt-ceiling standoff and the threat of a double-dip recession to create a leftist critique of the president that stuck.
Obama’s image as a
weakling and sellout
on domestic issues
now centers on his
alleged resistance,
from the very first
days of his
presidency, to do
whatever was
necessary to heal
the economy. “The
truly decisive move
that broke the arc
of history,” wrote
the Emory professor
Drew Westen, “was his
handling of the
stimulus.” Just as
the conservative
repudiation of
George W. Bush
boiled down to “he
spent too much,” the
liberal repudiation
of Obama has settled
on “he didn’t spend
enough.”
There’s truth in
that. President
Obama underestimated
the depth of the
crisis in 2009 and
left himself with
bad options in the
event the economy
failed to recover as
quickly as he hoped.
And yet the wave of
criticism from the
left over the
stimulus is
fundamentally
flawed: it ignores
the real choices
Obama faced and
progressive
decisions he made
and wishes away any
constraints upon his
power.
The most common
hallmark of the
left’s magical
thinking is a
failure to recognize
Congress is a
separate, coequal
branch of government
consisting of
members whose goals
may differ from the
president’s.
Congressional
Republicans pursued
a strategy of
denying Obama
support for any
major element of his
agenda, on the
correct assumption
this would make
it less popular and
help the party win
the 2010 elections.
Only for roughly
four months during
Obama’s term did
Democrats have the
60 Senate votes they
needed to overcome a
filibuster.
Moreover, Republican
opposition has
proved immune even
to persistent and
successful attempts
by Obama to mobilize
public opinion.
Americans
overwhelmingly favor
deficit reduction
that includes both
spending and taxes
and favor higher
taxes on the rich in
particular. Obama
even made a series
of crusading
speeches on this
theme. The result?
Nada.
That kind of
analysis, however,
just feels wrong to
liberals, who
remember Bush
steamrolling his
agenda through
Congress with no
such complaints
about
obstructionism.
Salon’s Glenn
Greenwald recently
invoked “the panoply
of domestic
legislation —
including Bush tax
cuts, No Child Left
Behind and the
Medicare Part D
prescription drug
entitlement — that
Bush pushed through
Congress in his
first term.”
Yes, Bush passed his
tax cuts — by using
a method called
reconciliation,
which can avoid a
filibuster but can
be used only on
budget issues. On No
Child Left Behind
and Medicare, he cut
deals expanding
government, which
the right-wing
equivalents of
Greenwald denounced
as a massive
sellout. Bush did
have one episode
where he tried to
force through a
major domestic
reform against a
Senate filibuster:
his crusade to
privatize Social
Security. Just as
liberals urge Obama
to do today, Bush
barnstormed the
country, pounding
his message and
pressuring
Democrats, whom he
cast as
obstructionists. The
result? Nada, beyond
the collapse of
Bush’s popularity.
Perhaps the oddest
feature of the
liberal indictment
of Obama is its
conclusion
Obama should have
focused all his
political capital on
economic recovery.
“He could likely
have passed many
small follow-up stimulative laws in
2009,” wrote Jon Walker of
the popular blog Firedoglake.
“Instead, he pivoted
away from the
economic crisis
because he wrongly
ignored those who
warned the crisis
was going to get
worse.”
It’s worth recalling
several weeks
before Obama
proposed an $800
billion stimulus,
House Democrats had
floated a $500
billion stimulus.
Oddly, this never
resulted in liberals
portraying Nancy
Pelosi as a
congenitally timid
right-wing enabler.
At the time, Obama’s
$800 billion
stimulus was seen by
Congress, pundits
and business leaders
— that is to say,
just about everybody
who mattered — as
mind-bogglingly
large. News reports
invariably described
it as “huge,”
“massive” or other
terms suggesting it
was unrealistically
large, even kind of
pornographic. The
favored cliché used
to describe the
reaction in Congress
was “sticker shock.”
Compounding the
problem, Obama
proposed his
stimulus shortly
after the
Congressional Budget
Office predicted
deficits topping a
trillion dollars.
Even before Obama
took office, and for
months afterward,
“everybody who
mattered” insisted
the crisis
required Obama to
scale back the
domestic initiatives
he campaigned on,
especially health
care reform, but
also cap-and-trade,
financial regulation
and so on. Colin
Powell, a reliable
barometer of elite
opinion, warned in
July of 2009: “I
think one of the
cautions that has to
be given to the
president — and I’ve
talked to some of
his people about
this — is you
can’t have so many
things on the table
that you can’t
absorb it all. And
we can’t pay for it
all.”
Rather than deploy
every ounce of his
leverage to force
moderate
Republicans, whose
votes he needed, to
swallow a larger
stimulus than they
wanted, Obama
clearly husbanded
some of his
political capital.
Why? Because in the
position of choosing
between the agenda
he came into office
hoping to enact and
the short-term
imperative of
economic rescue, he
picked the former.
At the time, this
was the course
liberals wanted and
centrists opposed.
On two subsequent
occasions, Obama
faced this same
choice. Last
December, he could
have refused to
extend any of the
Bush tax cuts on
income over
$250,000.
Republicans vowed to
let all the tax cuts
expire if he did so.
If Obama let this
happen, it would
have almost fully
solved the long-term
deficit problem,
while at the same
time setting back
the recovery by
raising taxes on
middle-class and
low-income workers.
Obama decided to
make a deal,
extending all the
Bush tax cuts and
also securing a
progressive payroll
tax cut and an
extension of
unemployment
benefits, both forms
of stimulus
Republicans would
never have allowed
without an extension
of upper-bracket tax
cuts in return.
There is a decent
argument the
president should
have refused this
deal. But if you
make that argument,
you have to accept
the likelihood
nearly a million
fewer jobs would
have been created
and we would
have been at risk of
a double-dip
recession back then.
Yet the liberal
critics most
exercised about
Obama’s failure to
secure more stimulus
were, for the most
part, enraged when
he did exactly that.
Take Robert Reich,
the former secretary
of labor under
President Clinton.
Last November, Reich
pleaded for an
extension of
unemployment
benefits, calling
the plight of the
jobless our “single
newest and biggest
social problem.”
When Obama made his
bargain, Reich
called it “an
abomination,”
complaining
“the bits and pieces
the president got in
return” — including
the unemployment
benefits previously
deemed vital —
amounted to
“peanuts.”
And then, this
summer, Obama let
the G.O.P. hold the
debt-ceiling vote
hostage to extract
spending cuts. I
think he should have
called the
Republicans’ bluff
and let them accept
the risk of a
financial meltdown.
But the reason Obama
chose to cut a deal
is calling
their bluff might
have resulted in
catastrophe. And
Obama made a point
of back-loading the G.O.P.’s budget cuts
so as not to
contract the
economy. He may have
chosen wrongly, but
he chose exactly the
priorities liberals
now insist he
ignored — favoring
economic recovery
over long-term
goals.
Liberal critics of
Obama, just like
conservative critics
of Republican
presidents,
generally want both
maximal partisan
conflict and maximal
legislative
achievement. In the
real world, those
two things are often
at odds. Hence the
allure of magical
thinking.












