| |
The Coming Wave of Young Hispanic Voters
WASHINGTON
& SANTA FE, NM (By
Cameron Joseph, National Journal)
March 5, 2011 ―
A wave of young Hispanic voters is about
to hit the polls, Hispanic leaders said
yesterday.
Of Latinos under age 18 living in the
United States, 93 percent are citizens
and a half-million of those will reach
the legal voting age each year for the
next 20 years, said officials of the
National Council of La Raza, a leading
civil-rights advocacy group for
Hispanics. That will further enhance the
political clout of what is already the
largest minority community in the
country ― and, NCLR leaders said,
produce a backlash against politicians
who engage in rhetoric many Hispanics
have come to feel is aimed at them.
"Demonizing immigrants is a losing
strategy," said NCLR chief lobbyist
Clarissa Martinez De Castro.
At a roundtable with other Hispanic
leaders yesterday, Martinez De Castro
said 42 percent of Hispanics are
citizens of voting age, while another
third are citizens who have not yet
turned 18. The median age of Hispanics
in the U.S. is 27, more than a decade
younger than of non-Hispanics.
While Hispanics are now dispersing
across the nation, 85 percent of
Hispanic voters in 2008 were found in 10
states, including the swing states of
Florida, New Mexico, Colorado, and
Pennsylvania.
Others at the press conference said
Hispanic voters are often misrepresented
in polls. Exit pollsters work in English
and tend to avoid heavily Hispanic
precincts, meaning the Hispanics they do
survey don't always reflect the views of
the broader community, said Stanford
professor Gary Segura, who polls
Hispanics. He disputed exit polls that
showed immigration hard-liner Sharron
Angle, a Republican, winning 30 percent
of the Hispanic vote in her unsuccessful
2008 race against Senate Majority Leader
Harry Reid, D-Nev. Segura said the
number was more likely closer to 8
percent.
University of Washington professor Matt
Barreto, Segura's polling partner,
pointed out none of the 60 polls of the
Reid-Angle conducted interviews in
Spanish. While most polls showed the
race neck-and-neck, Barreto said his own
polling accurately predicted Reid's
5-percentage-point win.
Several panel members noted while
Hispanics are not enamored with the
Democratic Party, Republicans have
continued to alienate them. "Latinos
continue to say they're not being
communicated with by both parties," said
Martinez De Castro. "Democrats do a
better job, but it's still not good.
Voting for the lesser of the two evils
starts to wear thin after a while."
|
|
|
![]() |
|
|