The Incredible Shrinking Obama
WASHINGTON & SANTA
FE, NM (By Glenn
Thrush and Carrie
Budoff Brown,
Politico) September
7, 2011
The once-muscular
presidency of Barack
Obama has undergone
a dramatic
downsizing – in
power, popularity,
prestige and
ambition – to the
point where even
Obama die-hards are
starting to question
his ability to right
the economy or win
reelection.
Three polls in a
single day (Tuesday)
all told the same
sorry tale – the
avatar of hope and
change, the slayer
of Osama bin Laden,
the president with
dreams of a
billion-dollar
reelection campaign
- is losing popular
support and bleeding
political power
fifteen months ahead
of Election Day.
“He has sort of lost
the sense of power
and mystique of the
presidency,” says
longtime Obama ally
Andy Stern, former
president of the
powerful Service
Employees
International Union.
“There’s also a
sense people aren’t
scared of him.
That’s very
dangerous.”
That makes
Thursday’s
high-stakes jobs
speech before a
joint session of
Congress all the
more critical for
the White House.
It’s not only
Obama’s last chance
to take a big, bold
stroke at spurring
employment, it might
be his final
opportunity to
reassert the
dominance he lost
last November to
congressional
Republicans, who
seem united on
nothing other than
the desire see him
fail.
It hasn’t been
pretty. Last week,
hours after Obama
acceded to
Republican demands
he move his speech
to a joint session
of Congress on jobs
from Wednesday to
Thursday, his press
secretary felt
compelled to
reassure Americans,
the speech wouldn’t
preempt the NFL’s
Packers-Saints
season opener.
The speech will now
start at the
un-presidential hour
of 7 p.m., just to
make sure no one
misses a single
pulled hamstring.
“If the address is
done by kickoff,”
joked one veteran
reporter in the
White House briefing
room on Thursday,
“does that mean he
sees the speech as
the pregame show?”
To Obama, this
speech is anything
but a joke. Obama’s
advisers, wary of
leaks and preemptive
attacks, haven’t
been sharing details
of the proposals he
will make with
members of Congress
in either party. But
sources tell he is
considering some new
approaches,
including the
possibility of
drafting his
proposals as an
actual bill,
something he hasn’t
done much in the
past.
And the White House
seems genuinely
eager for fresh
ideas, with aides
laying out the
framework of his
speech to columnists
on Tuesday in the
Roosevelt Room, and
then to a gathering
of top Democratic
strategists that
included former
Clinton chief of
staff John Podesta,
former Clinton press
secretary Joe
Lockhart,
super-lobbyist and
former Dick Gephardt
aide Steve Elmendorf
and Porter Novelli
executive Kiki
McLean.
The jobs speech,
aides say, will be
filled with action
items, from new
infrastructure
projects, to the
extension of the
payroll tax credits
— and possibly,
according to one
senior congressional
source, an attempt
to provide
additional local
funding for teachers
at a time when they
are being laid off
by the thousands.
But to critics and
allies alike, the
fact thhe president
of the United State
has to tip-toe
around Aaron Rodgers
and Drew Brees for
the privilege of
delivering a plan
for putting
Americans back to
work is a measure of
just how far he’s
been humbled by an
unforgiving economy,
unyielding GOP and
an unnerved,
underemployed
nation.
“He’s allowed the
Congress to
manhandle him, said
one top Democratic
ally of Obama’s.
“Every time he’s put
his foot down
they’ve kicked him
in the shin. It’s
goddamn
embarrassing. He’s
losing power. He
needs to grab it
back.”
For some, Obama’s
slide has brought to
mind the infamous
1992 Time cover on
“The Incredible
Shrinking President”
that described the
political death
spiral of President
George H. W. Bush,
who went from a
80-plus approval
rating in the
aftermath of the
first Gulf War to
the private sector a
year later.
White House
officials say Obama
isn’t interested in
his image and is
willing to do
anything, including
occasionally losing
face, to strike the
appropriate balance
between job creation
and deficit
reduction.
If Obama has a power
problem, his aides
say, it’s only
because he has to
share it with House
Republicans, who
have shown a
suicidal willingness
to push the country
to the edge in
pursuit of political
gain and ideological
purity.
“Obama fully
understands the
anxiety is out there
among the American
people about the
economy and the
frustration at the
pace of growth,”
White House press
secretary Jay Carney
told reporters
Tuesday.
On Thursday, when a
reporter asked
Carney if he felt
the president “has
gotten the respect
from Congress the
office of the
presidency deserves”
he shot back, “The
White House spends
zero time worrying
about that.”
Maybe they should.
Dickinson College
political science
professor Andrew
Rudalevige, who
studies the modern
presidency, says
Carney’s attitude
reflects Obama’s
antipathy to the
imperial vision of
the executive branch
embraced by
President George W.
Bush and Vice
President Dick
Cheney.
“Bush and Cheney did
everything they
could to see the
prestige and power
of the office was
never diminished —
even though it was,
through their
actions…says
Rudalevige. “Obama
hasn’t objected to
exercise power —
look at Libya — but
it’s not a priority
with him.”
Polls paint an
increasingly dark
picture of how
voters view the
impact of what Obama
has done.
Almost three in four
Americans believe
the country is
headed in the wrong
direction, according
to the
POLITICO/George
Washington
University
Battleground Poll —
a sharp spike in
pessimism since May
when 60 percent
shared that view.
Since the start of
the summer, Obama’s
own approval rating,
especially among
independents and
swing-state voters,
has plateaued at the
lowest level of his
presidency, dipping
to all-time lows in
the Gallup daily
tracking survey and
other polls, from a
once-rock steady
low-to-mid 40s to
the high 30s now.
An overwhelming
majority of
Americans, 74
percent, still like
the president
personally,
according to the
POLITICO/GW survey.
But voters are far
less confident than
early months of his
administration Obama
possesses the “right
set of
characteristics” or
policy goals to be
president, according
to the NBC News/
Wall Street Journal
Survey. More than 60
percent of those
surveyed say they
disapprove of the
way the president is
handling the
economy, according
to a third poll -
this one by the
Washington Post and
ABC News - that came
out Tuesday.
The graphs that plot
Obama’s political
fortunes mirror,
nearly percentage by
percentage, the
country’s declining
economic confidence.
August’s flat
employment growth
was the latest
indication of how
the economic
recovery has stalled
and the Office of
Management and
Budget’s predicted
last week the
unemployment rate
will likely remain
at 9 percent through
next November.
“The data behind it
is overwhelming,”
said Whit Ayres, a
Republican pollster
who is working for
former Utah Gov. Jon
Huntsman’s
presidential
campaign. “It is
clear Americans are
settling into the
view President Obama
has not been the
strong leader and
the unifying leader
they hoped for and
his performance,
particularly on the
economy, is severely
lacking.”
Obama has also made
history, but not in
a good way: He has
presided over the
first-ever downgrade
of the country’s
credit rating by
Standard & Poor’s,
and he was the first
president to see his
request for a joint
session of Congress
rebuffed.
Then there was his
performance during
the recent battle
over the deficit.
House Speaker John
Boehner pulled out
of negotiations for
one terrifying week,
preferring to
transact business
with Senate
Democrats and,
ultimately, Vice
President Joe Biden.
At one point, the
speaker wouldn’t
even return Obama’s
call.
One thing the
president isn’t
reluctant to do:
Give a big speech,
even if critics warn
the pulpit isn’t
quite so bully as it
once was.
“Obama is still
suffering from the
Speech Illusion,”
New York Times
columnist Maureen
Dowd wrote last
weekend. “The idea
that he can come
down from the
mountain, read from
a Teleprompter, cast
a magic spell with
his words and climb
back up the
mountain, while we
scurry around and do
what he proclaimed.”
And there is some
evidence the
speeches aren’t
quite having the
impact they used to.
Obama’s May 1st
announcement of Bin
Laden’s death was
the most-watched TV
event of his term,
with 56.5 million
staying up til
midnight to hear the
news. But other
speeches haven’t
been so
well-received.
His two last
nationwide
addresses,
discussing the
drawdown of troops
in Afghanistan and
the Libyan
intervention ranked
13th and 14th among
his prime-time
addresses, attracted
about 25 million
viewers each, and
some Democrats
questioned the
wisdom of staking
his prestige on yet
another big speech.
“The question isn’t
what will the speech
say. The question is
what does he do
after the speech is
over,” asks a
Democratic aide.
But Obama’s allies
say he’s been
through the fire
before and will
emerge stronger once
the contrast between
his jobs policies
and those of the
Republican field
become clearer.
“They were using the
‘Incredible
Shrinking President’
thing against Bill
Clinton too, and
what did he do? Win
re-election by a
landslide,” said
Neera Tanden, chief
operating officer
with the liberal
Center for American
Progress.













