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Why DREAM Act Will
Matter in 2012
WASHINGTON &
SANTA FE, NM
(By
Matt
Barreto,
Hispanic
Decisions)
March 1,
2011
―
In December
2005 H.R.
4437, aka
the
“Sensenbrenner
Bill” was
passed by
the House of
Representatives
and the
issue of
immigration
became front
page news in
American
politics.
The bill
asked for
the
immediate
deportation
of all
undocumented
immigrants,
and would
make it a
crime to
assist
undocumented
immigrants
in any way,
punishable
by up to 5
years in
prison.
The
immigrant
rights
marches that
occurred in
Spring 2006
further
highlighted
the
political
importance
of
immigration
reform
within the
Hispanic
community,
and with an
estimated 5
million
taking part
in the
rallies,
demonstrated
the
mobilizing
capacity of
immigration
as an issue.
Since 2006,
immigration
reform has
continually
been cited
as one of
the top
issues of
concern in
the Hispanic
community,
and in the
2010
election
immigration
continued to
play a major
role in the
minds of
Hispanic
voters.
Hispanic
Decisions
election eve
poll found
that 60% of
Hispanic
voters
stated
immigration
was “one of
the most
important
issues” on
Election Day
2010.
Despite the
salience of
immigration,
it was the
one issue in
which
goodwill was
not found
during the
lame duck
session in
December
2010, and
the DREAM
Act failed
to pass in
the Senate.
Thus, the
DREAM Act
and
immigration
reform at
large, still
looms for
the
President,
the
Congress,
and Hispanic
electorate.
While the
economy is
an obvious
issue of
concern for
Hispanics
and all
Americans in
2011, the
February
2011
impreMedia-Hispanic
Decisions
tracking
poll found
strong
evidence
immigration
in general,
and the
DREAM Act
specifically,
continue to
rank high on
the Hispanic
agenda.
Overall, 47%
of Hispanic
registered
voters
stated
immigration
was
currently
the most
important
issue facing
the Hispanic
community,
while 85%
said they
supported
the DREAM
Act.
Though the
vote on the
DREAM Act is
in the past,
it could
still loom
large in
2011-12 as
Hispanic
voters ask
both parties
what they
have
accomplished
on this very
important
issue.
Indeed,
there is
some
evidence in
the
impreMedia-Hispanic
Decisions
tracking
poll the
lack of
progress on
immigration
may be
hurting
opinions of
the
Democrats,
not just
Republicans.
Voters were
asked to
assess how
good or poor
of a job
each party
was doing in
their
outreach to
Hispanic
voters.
Among those
who said the
Democratic
Party was
doing a good
job reaching
out to
Hispanics,
42% cited
immigration
as their top
concern for
lawmakers to
address. In
contrast,
those who
rated
Democratic
outreach
unfavorably
were more
likely to
state
immigration
was the
number one
priority.
Among those
who said the
Democrats
don’t seem
to care
about
Hispanics,
56% called
immigration
the top
issue, and
among those
who thought
the
Democrats
were being
hostile to
Hispanics,
60% said
immigration
was the most
important
issue for
Congress and
the
President to
address.
By
comparison,
opinions of
Democratic
outreach do
not appear
to be
correlated
at all with
concern over
the economy,
perhaps
because
considerable
attention is
being paid
to the
economy. In
contrast,
the major
accomplishments
on
immigration
over the
past two
years have
been to
approve $600
million for
border
security
coupled with
a
significant
growth in
raids and
a“dramatic
increase” in
deportations.
Looking to
2012, it is
clear that
immigration
and the
DREAM Act
will still
be on the
minds of
Hispanic
voters. As a
recap, 60%
said
immigration
was one of
the most
important
issues in
the 2010
election,
and 47% said
it was the
top issue in
February
2011 – more
than any
other issue.
Not
surprisingly,
support for
the DREAM
Act is
strongest,
indeed
almost
universal,
among those
who say they
will vote
for Obama in
2012. We
broke out
support for
the DREAM
Act by
intended
vote choice
in 2012 and
found
regardless
of how
Hispanics
will vote, a
very strong
majority
support the
DREAM Act.
Among Obama
voters, 79%
strongly
support and
14% somewhat
support the
DREAM Act –
that’s 93%
support for
seeing this
bill passed
among the
President’s
Hispanic
base.
Further,
among those
who say they
are
undecided
62% strongly
support
DREAM with
23% somewhat
support, all
told 85% in
favor.
Even among
those who
plan to vote
for a GOP
candidate in
2012,
Republican
contenders
should take
note, that
Republican
leaning
Hispanics
also
supported
the DREAM
Act by a big
margin: 52%
strongly
support and
23% somewhat
support,
totaling to
75% approval
of the bill.
As the 2012
presidential
election
already
starts to
take shape,
we will hear
candidates
make all
sorts of
statements
about
immigration
reform,
whether they
are promises
of reform or
attacks on
undocumented
immigrants.
Either
during the
primary
debates or
the general
election,
the
candidates
will be
asked if
they support
or oppose
legislation
like the
DREAM Act,
and without
a doubt,
Hispanic
voters will
be paying
close
attention.
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